Who will win the Kentucky Derby? Expert Picks and Forecasts-The New York Times

2021-12-14 13:35:08 By : Mr. Jerry Zhu

Joe Drape and Melissa Hoppert played an important role in the 147th Kentucky Derby.

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Authors: Joe Drape and Melissa Hoppert

[Follow the real-time updates of the Kentucky Derby. ]

The horses of the 147th Kentucky Derby are listed in order of position, with comments from Joe Drape and Melissa Hoppert of the New York Times. Early odds are set by Mike Battaglia of Churchill Downs.

King Fury had a fever on Friday. All horses outside of him will be moved to a new departure gate for 20 horses. The position remains the same.

How to watch: The report starts on NBC Sports Network at 12:30 on Saturday, US Eastern Time, and will continue to air on NBC at 2:30 PM. It will also be played on NBC Sports Live.

Joe Drape's winning picks: Mandaloun, Essential Quality, Helium (Drape's original winning choice was King Fury.)

Melissa Hoppert's selection: known agenda, basic quality, midnight bourbon

This is how we look at the field:

Coach: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr. Odds: 6-1

Drape: The Florida Derby champion was the main contender until he won first place. He needs luck and professional handling to overcome it.

Hoppert: Since installing the flash, he has won two consecutive races with a total length of 13¾ horses, and he will be the number one jockey in North America. I will seize the opportunity when I am upset.

Coach: Wesley Ward Jockey: Drayden Van Dijk odds: 50-1

Drapability: This pony showed a late burst when capturing Jeff Ruby Steak. His position here is much deeper, and he is still in a difficult low position.

Hoppert: Ward is known for his success at the Royal Jockey Club. His goal is to include Derby Victory in his resume, but the top performance of this Colts is on the synthetic surface.

Coach: Danny Velazquez Jockey: Umberto Rispoli Odds: 50-1

Drape: This steer was three-quarters at the age of 2, but an illness delayed his training. His 3-year-old debut was the fifth place in the Wood Memorial.

Hoppert: This person who later joined the field may not be in the best shape, but he definitely has one of the best storylines: he was purchased for $5,000, and his coach is recovering from a strange training accident To recover.

Coach: Robertino Diodoro Jockey: David Cohen Odds: 50-1

Drapability: He was beaten 16 lengths by the most popular man on Blue Grass's morning line. Next.

Hoppert: Another belated addition. He has won only once in six career starts, and unfortunately it is going backwards.

Coach: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Corey Lanerie Odds: 50-1

Drape: This will be the fourth start of this talented pony's life. After an adventure, he finished second in Jeff Ruby. Expect him to become a force in the summer.

Hoppert: He may be the least talented of Pletcher's four Derby starters. go through.

Coach: Greg Foley Jockey: Marcelino Pedroza Odds: 20-1

Drape: The late runner performed well in the difficult Louisiana preliminary. He might hit the board.

Hoppert: The son of Derby champion Ober, he looks very keen in training, and his stats at this distance have also improved, earning him the reputation of being a "wise man" pick.

Coach: Brad Cox Jockey: Florent Geroux Odds: 15-1

Drape: If you can ignore the sixth-ranked fool in the Louisiana Derby, this pony complements the most popular pony. He turns off the lights here in the morning to work.

Hoppert: He is absolutely talented, but there are too many question marks. I will put the money elsewhere.

Coach: Bob Baffert Jockey: John Velazquez Odds: 15-1

Drapability: The Sant'Anita Debia won first or second in all five games and looked good.

Hoppert: Never leave Buffett out: he has the most wins in six derby matches, and his most recent match was with Velázquez last year.

Coach: Doug O'Neill Jockey: Flavien Prat Odds: 8-1

Drapability: The Louisiana Derby Championship is not entirely suitable for 1/4 mile distances.

Hoppert: He ranked second in the Breeders Cup Junior Race and had two impressive derby preparations. His versatile running style bodes well for this game.

Coach: Steven Asmussen Jockey: Mike Smith Odds: 20-1

Drape: This is a tried-and-tested pony, and it will appear there at a reasonable price.

Hoppert: He hit the board in all seven of his games, and he picked a Hall of Fame rider. In addition, the horse was brave: when he broke free while trying to avoid taking a bath, he became a topic of ass.

Coach: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Jose Ortiz Odds: 20-1

Drape: There is only one victory on the resume of the Woodsay runner-up. He won't get his second here.

Hoppert: He is making progress, but he is over here.

Coach: Mark Casse Jockey: Julien Leparoux Odds: 50-1

Drape: The Tampa Bay Derby champion is unbeaten in three starts, and he runs better every time he starts. There is nothing to do, but it is worth a $2 flyer.

Hoppert: Two of the victories were achieved on the synthetic surface. I'll pass.

Coach: Vicki Oliver Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Odds: 50-1

Drape: Another outstanding performance after finishing fourth in Blue Grass, he doesn't seem to be in the league.

Hoppert: He won on this track, but he was a step slower than the top contenders. Unfortunately, we have to wait longer to see a female coach win the derby.

Coach: Brad Cox Jockey: Luis Saez Odds: 2-1

Drapability: The bluegrass champion and 2-year-old champion are a well-deserved favorite after winning all five games. The only question is, how much did the bluegrass take away from him?

Hoppert: He won his first race on Derby Day, which was rearranged in September, and hasn't stopped since. He won on three tracks and used various running on fast and sloppy roads. style. Of course it must be defeated.

Coach: John Sadler Jockey: Joel Rosario Odds: 5-1

Drape: He looked like a world champion and won the Santa Anita derby, winning three to three. However, the first two are on the grass, and he might be better.

Hoppert: This late bloomer walked all the way on the Santa Anita stadium. He had played on the turf before. Of course he was not ready for the dirt kickbacks from the 19 racecourses. But Rosario is one of the hottest jockeys in the game, and if anyone can put him in a good position, it is him.

Coach: Ken McPeek Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr. Odds: 20-1

Drape: He won here at the age of 2 and looked great when Lexington Stakes won. This was his 3-year-old debut. His coach and jockey are underestimated. my choice.

Hoppert: His results at Lexington Stakes were achieved on a wet track, and the weather in Louisville on Saturday is expected to be perfect. I did not see.

Coach: Chad Brown Jockey: Javier Castellano Odds: 10-1

Drapability: This pony provides all the basic qualities he can handle in the bluegrass before being lost by a neck. Does he have the strength to turn things around?

Hoppert: He has rebounded in all five starts and will try to get Brown to win the derby for the first time in six attempts. However, the increased distance may be a factor.

Coach: Asmussen Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr. Odds: 30-1

Drape: The Arkansas Derby champion used the speed in front of him to duel. Here, there is a lot of traffic to navigate.

Hoppert: Asmussen's father is part of the owner, and his son rode him to his first victory, but the feeling good story ends here.

Coach: Casse Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Odds: 30-1

Cloak: a great name. Look for this Florida Debian army to lead into the first turn. His only chance is to score from door to line, which is difficult to do.

Hoppert: Owned by the granddaughter of the founder of Campbell Soup, this fast but slower pony is likely to be in the hot water here.

Coach: Pletcher Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche Odds: 30-1

Drape: This pony is a very deep pony. He won Wood at 72-1 odds and broke out for the last time. He will try to do it again.

Hoppert: His blindfold has been steadily improving. If Kamush became the first black jockey to win a derby in his first game since 1902, it would be a wonderful story.